Total Pageviews

Showing posts with label shares. Show all posts
Showing posts with label shares. Show all posts

Sunday, June 3, 2012

Greek debt hopes buoy shares, eyes on U.S. jobs

TOKYO (Reuters) - Tokyo stocks jumped to a seven-month high on Friday as Asian shares rose on signs Greece is a step nearer to securing a bailout fund, and expectations U.S. nonfarm payrolls data due later in the day will confirm a labor market recovery.

Results of Greece's bond swap with private creditors showed that 85.8 percent of private creditors had accepted its bond swap offer and that the rate would reach 95.7 percent with the use of collective action clauses to enforce the deal.

The euro fell to around $1.3230 from around $1.3260 after the announcement.

"The headlines from Greece are within expectations and the market reaction is a classic case of buy the rumor, sell the fact " said Yuji Saito, director of the foreign exchange division at Credit Agricole Bank in Tokyo.

Earlier, officials said a strong take-up of the offer would open the way for Athens to secure funding needed to clear a major bond redemption falling due on March 20.

Japan's Nikkei average jumped more than 2 percent to a seven-month high, spearheading the rally in the MSCI Asia Pacific ex-Japan index, which gained as much as 1.3 percent. The pan-Asian index was set for a weekly loss of about 1.2 percent, however, as growth concerns dragged prices lower earlier in the week before optimism over Greece took over.

"There seems to be a general presumption now that it's (Greece's debt restructuring) a done deal and that tonight's announcement will merely be a formal ratification," said Ric Spooner, market strategist, CMC Markets.

The dollar hit a 9-1/2-month high against the yen above 81.873 yen. Commodity currencies such as the Australian dollar held steady around $1.0650 on confidence the Greek bond swap would go through, although a surprise drop in Australia's trade deficit in January briefly weighed on the currency.

China's retail sales and industrial output came in below forecast, reflecting slowing growth momentum in the world's second largest economy, and weighed on Chinese shares.

Earlier data showed China's annual inflation cooled surprisingly sharply to a 20-month low of 3.2 percent in February, below its 2012 target of 4 percent, giving Beijing room to ease policy if needed.

"The latest CPI number is mainly because of the dissipation of the Chinese New Year effect. Prices came down after the holiday, especially food prices," said Kevin Lai, economist at Daiwa in Hong Kong. "We think that inflation is not a risk any more."

Spot gold inched up 0.3 percent to $1,705 an ounce on hopes for further easing by China.

U.S. JOBS AFTER GREECE

As Greece appeared on track to proceed with the debt swap deal, the focus turns to how Greece treats the minor holders of foreign law-issued debt, where there's a lot more uncertainty, said Adrian Foster, head of financial markets research for Asia-Pacific at Rabobank International in Hong Kong.

"Greece clearly wants them to participate on the same sort of basis as the Greek law debt and I do wonder whether the issue now has sufficiently become ringfenced in that in fact Greece can declare default. That might be the outcome," he said.

"But I just wonder if it's not as sensitive now as it was only a couple of months ago with all this ECB liquidity flushing around in the European financial system," Foster added.

Greece will top an acceptance rate of 95 percent in a bond swap plan only after collective action clauses (CAC) that enforce losses on any holdouts are imposed, a government official said.

That may trigger payouts on the credit default swaps (CDS) that some investors held on the bonds, an event which would have unknown consequences for the market.

"All these prospects are more or less within expectations, and now that the refinancing risk will likely be cleared, the real question is whether Greece can keep paying for its debts in order to sustain the lifeline from global lenders," a Tokyo-based analyst at an European securities firm said.

A disorderly default by Greece would have triggered much more far-reaching financial damage than the losses its bond holders suffer. A messy default would risk reigniting concerns about financing in other similarly debt-burdened euro zone countries and undermine the euro.

"Even when a messy default is prevented, the upcoming election in Greece next month will be the next risk factor," said Saito at Credit Agricole Bank in Tokyo.

Hopes for Greece and expectations for solid U.S. economic data underpinned prices of copper and oil on Friday.

Friday's U.S. data is expected to show a rise of 210,000 in nonfarm payrolls, with a gain in the private sector of 225,000 jobs offsetting a modest decline in government jobs.

Brent crude added 0.1 percent to $125.62 a barrel, while U.S. crude rose 0.3 percent to $106.89 a barrel.

Copper rose for a third day, rising 0.9 percent to $8,405 a tonne.

Sentiment in Asian credit markets also improved, narrowing the spread on the iTraxx Asia ex-Japan investment-grade index by about 5 basis points.

(Additional reporting by Amy Pyett in Sydney; Editing by Jacqueline Wong)


View the original article here

AIG selling $6 billion of Asia shares to repay U.S. bailout

HONG KONG (Reuters) - American International Group (AIG) is looking to raise about $6 billion by selling part of its stake in Asia subsidiary AIA Group <1299.HK> in a long-awaited move to help the U.S. insurer repay a federal government bail-out.

AIG is offering about 1.7 billion shares in a range of HK$27.15-27.50 per share - a discount of up to 7 percent to Friday's close of AIA shares, according to a term sheet seen by Reuters on Monday. Trading in AIA shares was suspended.

AIG announced the sale, via a placement with institutional investors, in a statement, but did not specify the amount. It expects to use the net proceeds to reduce the balance due to the U.S. Treasury Department's preferred equity interest in a special-purpose vehicle (SPV) in which AIG holds the AIA shares.

The U.S. Treasury owns 77 percent of AIG following a massive $182 billion bailout in the wake of the 2008 global financial crisis. AIG holds around a one-third stake in AIA which, at Friday's close, was worth a little over $15 billion.

As of December 31, AIG owed the Treasury $8.4 billion to redeem interests in the SPV as part of the bailout.

BANKERS' TARGET

Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank are handling the share sale, according to two sources with direct knowledge of the process.

Bankers plan to approach institutional investors and fund managers who were interested in AIA's $20.5 billion Hong Kong IPO in 2010 - which ranks as Asia's third-largest public listing - but who weren't able to buy into the stock at the time.

The deal should be "well-distributed" among different investors, instead of large chunks going to just a handful of buyers, according to one of the sources, neither of whom wanted to be named as they are not authorized to speak publicly on the matter.

"AIG is doing this sale at the right moment," said Kenneth Yue, Hong Kong-based analyst at CCB International Securities.

"If you look at new business growth of AIA last year, it went up 40 percent. I believe they've gone to the peak already - it would be very challenging for them to increase their new business value going forward by 40 percent every year."

While Yue believes AIG is getting a good price for its AIA stake, he said AIG's ownership will remain an overhang for AIA until the U.S. insurer sells out completely.

Shares of AIA, run by former Prudential Plc executive Mark Tucker, have risen 47 percent since early-October, and last week touched a 7-month high. The shares closed at HK$29.20 on Friday.

CROWN JEWEL

AIA was founded in Shanghai in 1919 by U.S. entrepreneur C.V. Starr. Twenty years later, Starr temporarily relocated to the United States to avoid political instability in Asia and, following the Second World War, decided to run his U.S. businesses from New York. Those businesses came to be known as AIG, and its shares began trading in New York in 1984.

Now Asia's third-largest insurer, AIA remained AIG's Asia arm, building a sprawling and successful business across the region, with an army of hundreds of thousands agents.

AIG was forced to spin off AIA, its 'crown jewel', and other assets following the U.S. government's rescue of the stricken U.S. insurer after the financial crisis.

AIA's initial public offer came after a surprise, but ultimately doomed, bid by British insurer Prudential.

Chief Executive Robert Benmosche has been coy about AIG's plans for its AIA stake. As recently as February 24, AIG said it had not decided what to do with the stake, and had earlier hinted it may even increase its holding.

AIG can sell around $8 billion of its stake under the terms of its AIA stake ownership. The lock-up on the remainder expires late next month. Pricing of the AIA share sale will occur no later than Tuesday, AIG said.

After AIG's recapitalisation early last year, the U.S. government was left with a 92 percent stake in AIG's common stock, and preferred interests in two SPVs - one holding a stake in MetLife and one the AIA stake.

Following a variety of stock sales and other asset disposals, the MetLife SPV has been paid off and the Treasury's stake in AIG reduced to 77 percent. It is expected to sell that in coming years, aiming to recoup at least $28.73 per share to break even on the rescue investment.

AIG said last month the Treasury's remaining interest in the AIA SPV was $8.4 billion.

The proceeds from the stake sale announced on Monday will go towards paying down that balance - leaving around $2.4 billion - far less than the value of the remaining AIA shares held by AIG.

(Additional reporting by Fiona Lau, Elzio Barreto and Ben Berkowitz; Written by Michael Flaherty; Editing by Ed Davies and Ian Geoghegan)


View the original article here

Monday, March 5, 2012

AIG selling $6 billion of Asia shares to repay U.S. bailout

HONG KONG (Reuters) - American International Group (AIG) is selling part of its stake in AIA Group to raise about $6 billion to help the U.S. insurer repay a huge federal government bail-out.

AIG is looking to place some 1.7 billion AIA shares in a range of HK$27.15-27.50 per share - a discount of up to 7 percent to Friday's AIA closing price, according to a term sheet seen by Reuters on Monday.

The shares will go to institutional investors, and AIG expects to use the net proceeds to reduce the balance due to the U.S. Treasury Department's preferred equity interest in a special-purpose vehicle (SPV) in which AIG holds the AIA shares.

The U.S. Treasury owns 77 percent of AIG following a massive $182 billion bail-out in the wake of the 2008 global financial crisis. AIG holds around a one-third stake in AIA which, at Friday's close, was worth $14.9 billion.

As of end-December, AIG owed the Treasury $8.4 billion to redeem interests in the AIA SPV.

Institutions may be drawn to the offering by AIA's strong performance since it listed in a $20.5 billion Hong Kong IPO in 2010 - Asia's third-largest public listing - but a big run up in its stock price may have some feeling the offer is expensive.

But, with such a large sale on to the market and AIA's free float increasing, the company's weighting on benchmark indexes should rise, making it a target for fund managers tracking the Hang Seng and the Hang Seng Finance Index.

"The issue of getting the deal through shouldn't be a problem, plus there should be some index buying," said the head of a large U.S.-based asset manager in Hong Kong, who was not authorized to speak publicly on the AIA sale.

Kenneth Yue, Hong Kong-based analyst at CCB International Securities, said the sale looked well timed.

"AIG is doing this at the right moment. If you look at AIA's new business growth last year, it went up 40 percent. I believe they've gone to the peak already - it would be very challenging for them to increase their new business value going forward by 40 percent every year."

BANK CREDIT

Deutsche Bank and Goldman Sachs are the "active" joint global coordinators (JGCs), according to two sources with direct knowledge of the process, who did not want to be named as they are not authorized to speak publicly on the matter.

Deutsche and Goldman were among the four banks that led AIA's IPO, along with Citigroup and Morgan Stanley. The sources said Citi and Morgan Stanley were taking "passive" JGC roles in the current AIG sell-down.

The distinction is important not just for the fees that are paid on such a large offering, but also in the league table credit that can help a bank's external marketing. For the AIA sell-down, the banks will get equal league table credit, but Deutsche and Goldman will take home the fatter fees, according to one of the sources.

The deal should be "well-distributed" among different investors, instead of large chunks going to just a handful of buyers, the source noted.

Shares of AIA, headed by former Prudential Plc executive Mark Tucker, have risen 47 percent since early-October, and last week touched a 7-month high. The shares closed at HK$29.20 on Friday.

CROWN JEWEL

AIA was founded in Shanghai in 1919 by U.S. entrepreneur C.V. Starr. Twenty years later, Starr temporarily relocated to the United States to avoid political instability in Asia and, following the Second World War, decided to run his U.S. businesses from New York. Those businesses came to be known as AIG, and its shares began trading in New York in 1984.

Now Asia's third-largest insurer, AIA has built a sprawling and successful business across the region, with an army of hundreds of thousands of agents.

AIG was forced to spin off AIA, its 'crown jewel', and other assets following the U.S. government's rescue of the stricken U.S. insurer after the financial crisis.

AIA's initial public offer came after a surprise, but ultimately doomed, bid by British insurer Prudential.

AIG Chief Executive Robert Benmosche has been coy about his plans for the AIA stake. As recently as February 24, AIG said it had not decided what to do with the stake, and had earlier hinted it may even increase its holding.

AIG can sell around $8 billion of its stake under the terms of its AIA stake ownership. The lock-up on the remainder expires late next month. Pricing of the AIA share sale will occur no later than Tuesday, AIG said.

On Friday, AIG sold its entire $500 million stake in private equity firm Blackstone Group, according to a source familiar with the situation, as part of an ongoing effort to monetize non-core assets, reduce risk and deleverage.

After AIG's recapitalization early last year, the U.S. government was left with a 92 percent stake in AIG's common stock, and preferred interests in two SPVs - one holding a stake in MetLife and one the AIA stake.

Following a variety of stock sales and other asset disposals, the MetLife SPV has been paid off and the Treasury's stake in AIG reduced to 77 percent. It is expected to sell that in coming years, aiming to recoup at least $28.73 per share to break even on the rescue investment.

AIG said last month the Treasury's remaining interest in the AIA SPV was $8.4 billion.

The proceeds from the stake sale announced on Monday will go towards paying down that balance - leaving around $2.4 billion - far less than the value of the remaining AIA shares held by AIG.

(Additional reporting by Fiona Lau, Elzio Barreto and Ben Berkowitz; Writing by Michael Flaherty; Editing by Ed Davies and Ian Geoghegan)


View the original article here